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Armenia-Azerbaijan, tensions rise as Baku establishes border control on Lachin Corridor

Armenia-Azerbaijan, tensions rise as Baku establishes border control on Lachin Corridor

A few days ago, Osservatorio Balcani e Caucaso Transeuropa published my latest on the recent tensions on the Armenia-Azerbaijan border. However, some argue, they also represent the possibility that negotiations on Yerevan-Baku peace treaty might come to fruition. Most others disagree, of course, but the situation can perhaps be best described as unclear.

Armenia Seeks Security Outside Moscow’s Orbit

Armenia Seeks Security Outside Moscow’s Orbit

Ten days ago, Transitions magazine published my latest on the European Union Mission in Armenia (EUMA). Though the monitoring mission continues to be appreciated and welcomed in the country, there still remain overly high expectations of what is a small presence along a 1,000 kilometre border with no power or ability to deter any armed incidents or skirmishes.

Indeed, on the day of publication, four Armenian and three Azerbaijani soldiers were killed near the village of Tegh.

The Pashinyan Conundrum: Predictably Unpredictable, Consistently Inconsistent

The Pashinyan Conundrum: Predictably Unpredictable, Consistently Inconsistent

While most observers see resolution only through the prism of regional and other international actors, it should be remembered that, at the end of the day, it still comes down to a decision by Armenia and Azerbaijan. In this context and given his tendency to change his opinion and allegiances unexpectedly, as efforts to end a conflict that has lasted over three decades continue, Pashinyan’s predictably unpredictable and consistently inconsistent approach remains the most difficult conundrum to decipher of all.