{"id":10004,"date":"2023-02-28T09:03:07","date_gmt":"2023-02-28T09:03:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/?p=10004"},"modified":"2024-07-27T22:16:56","modified_gmt":"2024-07-27T22:16:56","slug":"eu-deploys-two-year-european-union-monitoring-mission-in-armenia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/eu-deploys-two-year-european-union-monitoring-mission-in-armenia\/","title":{"rendered":"Two-Year European Union Monitoring Mission Deployed in Armenia"},"content":{"rendered":"\n[et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;3px|||||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][et_pb_row _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||||false|false&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;9px|||||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.17.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;-52px||||false|false&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;32px|||||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;]<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><i>Logo of the new Common Security and Defence Policy (CSDP) unarmed civilian European Union Mission in\u00a0Armenia (EUMA) that will be headquartered in <span>Yeghegnadzor, Vayots Dzor region.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p>A week after the deployment of the <a href=\"https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/?s=euma\">European Union Mission in Armenia<\/a> (EUMA), a dedicated 100-person strong observation of the country&#8217;s border with Azerbaijan, there&#8217;s still much that remains unknown about its activities.\u00a0However, in two pieces published this week by the Institute for War &amp; Peace Reporting (IWPR) and Osservatorio Balcani e Caucaso, I&#8217;ve tried to summarise what we do know.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>In the first, <a href=\"https:\/\/iwpr.net\/global-voices\/eu-deploys-two-year-monitoring-mission-armenia\">published yesterday<\/a>,\u00a0there&#8217;s initial reaction from analysts in Yerevan and Baku such as Benyamin Poghosyan, Farid Shafiyev, and Mahammad Mammadov, as well as those involved in the process of contribution personnel to the mission such as Tobias Pietz.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><em>The EU has deployed an expanded monitoring\u00a0mission\u00a0to\u00a0Armenia\u2019s volatile\u00a0border\u00a0with Azerbaijan in a move that confirms Brussels\u2019 increased commitment in a region that Moscow historically considered its sphere of influence.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>In response, the Russian foreign ministry\u00a0stated\u00a0that the EU mission would only further stoke &#8220;geopolitical confrontation&#8221;.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>The EU Mission in Armenia (EUMA) officially\u00a0started\u00a0on February 20 and\u00a0comprises \u201cexclusively civilian staff [that] will number approximately 100 in total, including around 50 unarmed observers,\u201d according to a press release.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0:<\/p>\n<p><em>[\u2026]<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0:<\/p>\n<p><em>EUMCAP received a cold reception from Baku, which nevertheless agreed to cooperate with it. In Armenia the mission was criticised by the political opposition for not publicly releasing any reports.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Analysts, however, evaluated it positively.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201c[Its] deployment was a significant step in emphasising EU interest and involvement in the South Caucasus and in Armenia,\u201d Benyamin Poghosyan, director of the Centre for Political and Economic Strategic Studies in Yerevan, told IWPR.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>\u00a0:<\/p>\n<p><em>[\u2026]<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Poghosyan posited that the underlying intention was to contribute to peace talks.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cThe primary objective is to create a more conducive environment for the resumption and continuation of Armenia-Azerbaijan negotiations and the eventual signing of a peace agreement within a reasonable timescale \u2013 probably by the end of 2023,\u201d he said.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>Nonetheless, he sounded a note of caution.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cArmenia should not think that EUMA is sent by the EU to freeze the conflict and to provide it with time to strengthen its military while acting as a buffer against a potential Azerbaijani attack,\u201d Poghosyan continued, maintaining that Yerevan should refrain from public criticism of Russia\u2019s peacekeeping force in Karabakh and its general presence in the region. \u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>[\u2026]<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>[\u2026] ZIF\u2019s Pietz maintained that the mission\u2019s potential far outweighed its risks.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cYes, Azerbaijan and Russia have not signaled their support for EUMA but especially Baku has no interest to jeopardise its ties, including economically, with the EU by putting the mission and its personnel in actual danger,\u201d he explained. \u201cI rather fear that encounters between local Russian border or military units with EUMA patrols might pose some risks.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cThat is why it will be key for EUMA to set up respective emergency communication channels with local commanders and communities.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The full article is <a href=\"https:\/\/iwpr.net\/global-voices\/eu-deploys-two-year-monitoring-mission-armenia\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, what did become obvious from the outset, however, is that the European Union needs to focus on managing expectations. As some analysts, including myself, have noted, EUMA is unable to prevent or deter any cross-border incidents or military actions. Its primary task will be to monitor and report back to Brussels. Unfortunately, however, there were initially incorrect reports in the local media that some of the mission could be armed.<\/p>\n<p>It won&#8217;t be, and as was clearly stated from the very start. Nonetheless, it is widely believed that EUMA will be able to help reduce tensions on the border even if it will also require an underlying peace process to accompany it in order to be truly effective. Even so, the mission will still prove a sensitive one as I outlined\u00a0for Osservatorio\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.balcanicaucaso.org\/eng\/Areas\/Armenia\/EUMA-started-observing-Armenia-s-border-with-Azerbaijan-223674\">today<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p class=\" text-left\"><em>[\u2026] despite the precedent of the earlier civilian monitoring capacity, some Armenian media inaccurately reported the news, even going as far to imply that while 50 of the 100 staff will be \u201cunarmed monitors\u201d, the remaining 50 might carry weapons. Other reports incorrectly stated that there were 100 monitors and not 50, while yet another even referred to EUMA as \u201cEuropean Union ground forces\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\" text-left\"><em>None of those claims was correct, however, and all were potentially damaging for the mission before it had even operated for a full day. In fairness, news reports that seconded gendarmes and police officers from France and Germany would be among others in EUMA could be the reason for the confusion, coincidentally highlighting how the EU will need to manage expectations for the mission.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\" text-left\"><em>\u201cAs monitors they are no longer police, even though in the case of EUMM Georgia some of the seconded police decided to wear their uniforms. But they are always unarmed\u201d, clarifies Tobias Pietz, Deputy Head of Analysis at the Center for International Peace Operations (ZIF), a German governmental agency that will also contribute staff to EUMA.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>[\u2026] <\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\" text-left\"><em><span>Even so, concerns have been raised in Baku.<\/span><br \/><\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\" text-left\"><em><span><\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\" text-left\"><\/p>\n<p class=\" text-left\"><\/p>\n<p class=\" text-left\"><\/p>\n<p class=\" text-left\"><em>\u201cUnlike the previous temporary version of the mission, there is no clear peace agenda and no coordination with Azerbaijan\u201d, says Topchubashov analyst Mahammad Mammadov. \u201cIt may damage the EU\u2019s image as an honest broker in the region and Baku is highly concerned about losing the EU mediation track as it has been the favoured choice for a number of reasons\u201d. <\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>[\u2026]<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cThe observers must pay heed to the other important party in the region \u2014 Russia, which has military and border guards along Armenia\u2019s border with Azerbaijan\u201d,\u00a0wroteInternational Crisis Group Senior Analyst Olesya Vartanyan for Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung\u2019s International Politics and Society journal.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\" text-left\"><em>&#8220;The EU should give its mission the tools to facilitate dialogue between Armenian and Azerbaijani military and border guards posted along the border if that might help prevent or damp down violence\u201d, she further remarked, possibly referring to something akin to the Incident Prevention and Response Mechanism (IPRM) that EUMM has established on the ABLs in Georgia.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\" text-left\"><em>While there are scant other details available on EUMA, the European Union does indeed see it as a tool to create a more conducive environment for negotiations between Yerevan and Baku. Indeed, that had been the purpose of the earlier EUMCAP too, including in assisting the task of border demarcation and delimitation.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\" text-left\"><em>[\u2026]<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\" text-left\"><em>It is too early to tell how successful EUMA will prove, but many analysts believe that it could contribute to peace and stability on the Armenia-Azerbaijan border. Some like Poghosyan, however, warn that, unless accompanied by the genuine resumption of the Brussels Process, its efforts could amount to little more than increased regional rivalry in the South Caucasus.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\" text-left\"><em>There are some signs of hope. Despite the sudden cancellation of a 7 December meeting between Aliyev and Pashinyan with European Council President Charles Michel in Brussels, the EU negotiation track does not appear to have collapsed.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\" text-left\"><em>\u201cWe have repeatedly reaffirmed our commitment to the peace process, namely the Brussels process\u201d, stated Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev during a\u00a0panel sessionat the Munich Security Conference on 18 February. \u201cYesterday during a meeting with President of the European Council Charles Michel [and] today during a meeting with Secretary of State Blinken\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>During the conference, incidentally, Aliyev had met with Michel to discuss the EU\u2019s new mission in Armenia, though no other details are known. On 25 February, however, the EU Special Representative for the South Caucasus announced during an interview that there were new efforts to revitalise the Brussels Process though the date for a possible meeting between Michel, Aliyev, and Pashinyan was yet to be determined.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>The full article is available in English\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.balcanicaucaso.org\/eng\/Areas\/Armenia\/EUMA-started-observing-Armenia-s-border-with-Azerbaijan-223674\">here<\/a>\u00a0and in Italian <a href=\"https:\/\/www.balcanicaucaso.org\/aree\/Armenia\/Missione-UE-in-Armenia-partito-il-monitoraggio-223674\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Anyway, as an update to these pieces, the European Union&#8217;s Special Representative for the South Caucasus and the Crisis in Georgia, Toivo Klaar, was interviewed by Radio Free Europe \/ Radio Liberty&#8217;s Yerevan Bureau. <span>\u201cTo say that an unarmed observation mission is directed against anyone is to distort the facts,\u201d he is quoted as saying in the interview by Jam News. Klaar is also relatively\u00a0upbeat <a href=\"https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/a-tale-of-two-meetings-more-on-aliyev-and-pashinyan-at-the-munich-security-conference\/\">following Munich<\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Anyway, for more on EUMA and its predecessor, the temporary short-term European Union Monitoring Capacity in Armenia (EUMCAP), see all my posts <a href=\"https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/?s=eumcap\">here<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>[\/et_pb_text][dsm_text_divider header=&#8221;CONFLICT VOICES e-BOOKS&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][\/dsm_text_divider][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row column_structure=&#8221;1_2,1_2&#8243; use_custom_gutter=&#8221;on&#8221; gutter_width=&#8221;1&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; module_alignment=&#8221;center&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;|0px||0px|false|false&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;0px|0px|0px|0px|false|false&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;1_2&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][et_pb_image src=&#8221;https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/book-1-2.jpg&#8221; title_text=&#8221;Click to download&#8221; url=&#8221;https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/conflict_voices_december_2010-1.pdf&#8221; url_new_window=&#8221;on&#8221; align=&#8221;center&#8221; admin_label=&#8221;Image&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; width=&#8221;85%&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; text_font=&#8221;Oswald|||on|||||&#8221; ul_font=&#8221;||on|on|||||&#8221; ul_font_size=&#8221;20px&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;|||50px|false|false&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;]<p>&nbsp;<\/p><p style=\"text-align: center;\">Conflict Voices \u2013 December 2010<\/p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; text_font=&#8221;||||||||&#8221; text_font_size=&#8221;15px&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;|||50px|false|false&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;]<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Short essays on the Nagorno Karabakh Conflict<br \/>Download in <a href=\"https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/conflict_voices_december_2010-1.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">English<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Conflict_Voices_RU.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Russian<\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><\/p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][et_pb_column type=&#8221;1_2&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][et_pb_image src=&#8221;https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/book-new-1.jpg&#8221; title_text=&#8221;Click to download&#8221; url=&#8221;https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Conflict20Voices20May202011.pdf&#8221; url_new_window=&#8221;on&#8221; align=&#8221;center&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; width=&#8221;85%&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; text_font=&#8221;Oswald|||on|||||&#8221; ul_font=&#8221;||on|on|||||&#8221; ul_font_size=&#8221;20px&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;|||50px|false|false&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;]&nbsp;\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Conflict Voices \u2013 May 2011<\/p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; text_font=&#8221;||||||||&#8221; text_font_size=&#8221;15px&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;|||50px|false|false&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;]<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">Short essays on the Nagorno Karabakh Conflict<br \/>Download in <a href=\"https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Conflict20Voices20May202011.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">English<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/CaucasusConflictVoicesMay2011-Russian.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Russian<\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><\/p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section]\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A week after the deployment of the European Union Mission in Armenia (EUMA), a dedicated 100-person strong observation of the country&#8217;s border with Azerbaijan, there&#8217;s still much that remains unknown about its activities.\u00a0However, in two pieces published this week by the Institute for War &#038; Peace Reporting (IWPR) and Osservatorio Balcani e Caucaso, I&#8217;ve tried to summarise what we do know.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9793,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","twitterCardType":"","cardImageID":0,"cardImage":"","cardTitle":"","cardDesc":"","cardImageAlt":"","cardPlayer":"","cardPlayerWidth":0,"cardPlayerHeight":0,"cardPlayerStream":"","cardPlayerCodec":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12,10,53,37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10004","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-armenia","category-azerbaijan","category-balcani-caucaso","category-european-union"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Two-Year European Union Monitoring Mission Deployed in Armenia - Onnik James Krikorian - Journalist, Photojournalist, Consultant<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/eu-deploys-two-year-european-union-monitoring-mission-in-armenia\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Two-Year European Union Monitoring Mission Deployed in Armenia - Onnik James Krikorian - Journalist, Photojournalist, Consultant\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A week after the deployment of the European Union Mission in Armenia (EUMA), a dedicated 100-person strong observation of the country&#039;s border with Azerbaijan, there&#039;s still much that remains unknown about its activities.\u00a0However, in two pieces published this week by the Institute for War &amp; Peace Reporting (IWPR) and Osservatorio 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