{"id":11030,"date":"2024-04-08T11:05:00","date_gmt":"2024-04-08T11:05:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/?p=11030"},"modified":"2024-06-30T11:12:56","modified_gmt":"2024-06-30T11:12:56","slug":"armenian-government-faces-domestic-pressure-over-handling-of-border-dispute","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/armenian-government-faces-domestic-pressure-over-handling-of-border-dispute\/","title":{"rendered":"Armenian Government Faces Domestic Pressure Over Handling of Border Dispute"},"content":{"rendered":"

[et_pb_section fb_built=”1″ _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”3px|||||” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”][et_pb_row _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” custom_margin=”||||false|false” custom_padding=”9px|||||” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.17.4″ _module_preset=”default” custom_margin=”-52px||||false|false” custom_padding=”32px|||||” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”]<\/p>\n

On November 9, 2020, the leaders of Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Russia signed a trilateral ceasefire statement ending the Second Karabakh War<\/span>. An initial draft of the agreement was mistakenly uploaded to the Kremlin\u2019s website<\/span>. According to the draft, in addition to the return of the remainder of territory under Yerevan\u2019s control immediately surrounding Karabakh, four villages in the Gazakh region of Azerbaijan were mentioned. These villages are contiguous to Armenia\u2019s Tavush region and have been out of Baku\u2019s control since the early 1990s. The document stated that \u201cthe territories held by the Armenian side in the Gazakh region of the Azerbaijan Republic will be returned to the Azerbaijani side.\u201d Although the draft statement was hastily taken down and did not hold any legal weight, it highlighted that those villages had been up for negotiation. Three and a half years later, the status of these villages is once again up for discussion between Yerevan and Baku<\/span>. Some opposition figures in Armenia admit that there might have been verbal agreements between the signatories of the 2020 ceasefire document to resolve the matter, but this remains unconfirmed<\/span>.<\/span><\/p>\n

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The latest round of Armenian-Azerbaijani border demarcation talks on March 7 provided insights into these new developments. Baku\u2019s main representative, Azerbaijani Deputy Prime Minister Shahin Mustafayev, declared that the four villages in question\u2014Baghanis Ayrim, Lower Askipara, Kheyrimli, and Gizilhajili\u2014should be \u201cimmediately\u201d returned to Azerbaijan. Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev has made similar demands in the past, most recently in January. Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan was quick to respond to Mustafayev\u2019s statement during a live press conference just days later. \u201cThere have never been villages with such names on the territory of Armenia,\u201d he stated, at times, holding aloft a cutout map of Armenia. \u201cWe must proceed from the\u00a0de jure\u00a0reality. What is Armenia is Armenia, what is not Armenia is not Armenia,\u201d he said, ostensibly confirming that Yerevan had no claim on the villages.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

The declaration surprised many observers of the Armenian-Azerbaijani peace process, mainly because attention had been focused elsewhere regarding enclaves\/exclaves. During more recent negotiations, no clarification had been provided on whether four of the eight Azerbaijani villages under Armenia\u2019s control were situated in Azerbaijan proper. Aliyev became particularly vocal on this subject earlier this year.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

The issue of the enclaves themselves, including one formerly Armenian-inhabited village in Azerbaijan, look to be resolved during the border demarcation process. Whether the enclaves will be returned to the jurisdiction of the other or simply swapped remains unclear. One Armenian lawmaker recently noted that the matter is complicated because any exchange of enclaves will have to be determined by referendum per Article 205 of the Armenian Constitution.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

[\u2026] <\/em><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

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Pashinyan will likely be able to ride the maelstrom of discontent as negotiations to resolve the status of the four non-enclave villages continue. It is becoming clear, however, that the issue of enclaves\/exclaves could prove a stubborn obstacle for any peace agreement between Yerevan and Baku. While some Azerbaijani analysts urge that ceding the four villages to Azerbaijan would maintain the fragile peace process, their Armenian counterparts argue the opposite.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n

The full analysis is available here<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

[\/et_pb_text][dsm_text_divider header=”CONFLICT VOICES e-BOOKS” _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”][\/dsm_text_divider][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row column_structure=”1_2,1_2″ use_custom_gutter=”on” gutter_width=”1″ _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” module_alignment=”center” custom_margin=”|0px||0px|false|false” custom_padding=”0px|0px|0px|0px|false|false” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”][et_pb_column type=”1_2″ _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”][et_pb_image src=”https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/book-1-2.jpg” title_text=”Click to download” url=”https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/conflict_voices_december_2010-1.pdf” url_new_window=”on” align=”center” admin_label=”Image” _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” width=”85%” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” text_font=”Oswald|||on|||||” ul_font=”||on|on|||||” ul_font_size=”20px” custom_margin=”|||50px|false|false” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”]<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Conflict Voices \u2013 December 2010<\/p>\n

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Short essays on the Nagorno Karabakh Conflict
Download in English<\/a> | Russian<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][et_pb_column type=”1_2″ _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”][et_pb_image src=”https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/book-new-1.jpg” title_text=”Click to download” url=”https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Conflict20Voices20May202011.pdf” url_new_window=”on” align=”center” _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” width=”85%” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” text_font=”Oswald|||on|||||” ul_font=”||on|on|||||” ul_font_size=”20px” custom_margin=”|||50px|false|false” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”] <\/p>\n

Conflict Voices \u2013 May 2011<\/p>\n

[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” text_font=”||||||||” text_font_size=”15px” custom_margin=”|||50px|false|false” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”]<\/p>\n

\n

Short essays on the Nagorno Karabakh Conflict
Download in English<\/a> | Russian<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

On November 9, 2020, the leaders of Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Russia signed a trilateral ceasefire statement ending the Second Karabakh War. An initial draft of the agreement was mistakenly uploaded to the Kremlin\u2019s website. 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