{"id":11551,"date":"2025-04-21T22:07:00","date_gmt":"2025-04-21T22:07:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/?p=11551"},"modified":"2025-09-27T22:17:35","modified_gmt":"2025-09-27T22:17:35","slug":"armenian-local-elections-a-barometer-for-pashinyans-political-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/armenian-local-elections-a-barometer-for-pashinyans-political-future\/","title":{"rendered":"Armenian Local Elections a Barometer for Pashinyan\u2019s Political Future"},"content":{"rendered":"

[et_pb_section fb_built=”1″ _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” custom_padding=”3px|||||” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”][et_pb_row _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” custom_margin=”||||false|false” custom_padding=”9px|||||” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”][et_pb_column type=”4_4″ _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.17.4″ _module_preset=”default” custom_margin=”-52px||||false|false” custom_padding=”32px|||||” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”]<\/p>\n

Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan finds himself facing a turbulent political landscape following snap local elections in the municipalities of Gyumri and Parakar late last month<\/span>. Despite municipal votes often being dismissed as minor, the outcome of the March 30 elections carries national weight<\/span>. In both Gyumri and Parakar, Pashinyan\u2019s ruling political party, Civil Contract, failed to secure a majority of the votes. The elections were widely considered a referendum on Pashinyan\u2019s premiership. Pashinyan\u2019s approval ratings hover around 11 percent, according to a survey published in January of this year<\/span>. This, combined with the election results in Gyumri and Parakar, means that Pashinyan\u2019s political survivability may be in question.<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

In Gyumri, Armenia\u2019s second-largest city and home to the Russian 102nd military base, Pashinyan\u2019s approval ratings are particularly symbolic given that he embarked on a pivotal march to unseat his predecessor, walking 117 kilometers (72 miles) from Gyumri to Yerevan in 2018, almost seven years ago to the day. Despite most Armenians expecting Pashinyan\u2019s Civil Contract party to outright win the elections, there was the possibility that another party could strike a deal for it to still govern.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

[\u2026] <\/em><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

In September 2023, Civil Contract had also failed to win an outright majority in the Yerevan municipal elections, attracting just 33 percent of the vote. Pashinyan\u2019s candidate, Tigran Avinyan, had to instead rely on an extra-parliamentary Public Voice led by a former policeman and controversial video blogger, currently detained in the United States, to retain power. In Gyumri last month, however, there was no political force to make a deal. Even a new pro-European Union extra-parliamentary force believed close to Pashinyan failed to pass the six percent threshold.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

[\u2026] <\/em><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

For now, Pashinyan must balance westward aspirations with the ever-present shadow of Russia and an increasingly assertive opposition at home. If he can offer voters a compelling vision of a \u201cReal Armenia\u201d\u2014one that overcomes military defeat, economic stagnation, and regional isolation\u2014he might still chart a path to re-election. The 2018 Velvet Revolution, however, feels distant for most Armenians now, as demonstrated in Gyumri. The loss of Karabakh and the attempted control of power in the regions of Armenia define his tenure today.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

The full piece is available here<\/a>.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

[\/et_pb_text][dsm_text_divider header=”CONFLICT VOICES e-BOOKS” _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”][\/dsm_text_divider][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row column_structure=”1_2,1_2″ use_custom_gutter=”on” gutter_width=”1″ _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” module_alignment=”center” custom_margin=”|0px||0px|false|false” custom_padding=”0px|0px|0px|0px|false|false” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”][et_pb_column type=”1_2″ _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”][et_pb_image src=”https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/book-1-2.jpg” title_text=”Click to download” url=”https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/conflict_voices_december_2010-1.pdf” url_new_window=”on” align=”center” admin_label=”Image” _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” width=”85%” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” text_font=”Oswald|||on|||||” ul_font=”||on|on|||||” ul_font_size=”20px” custom_margin=”|||50px|false|false” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”]<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Conflict Voices \u2013 December 2010<\/p>\n

[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” text_font=”||||||||” text_font_size=”15px” custom_margin=”|||50px|false|false” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”]<\/p>\n

\n

Short essays on the Nagorno Karabakh Conflict
Download in English<\/a> | Russian<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][et_pb_column type=”1_2″ _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”][et_pb_image src=”https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/book-new-1.jpg” title_text=”Click to download” url=”https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/09\/Conflict20Voices20May202011.pdf” url_new_window=”on” align=”center” _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” width=”85%” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” text_font=”Oswald|||on|||||” ul_font=”||on|on|||||” ul_font_size=”20px” custom_margin=”|||50px|false|false” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”] <\/p>\n

Conflict Voices \u2013 May 2011<\/p>\n

[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text _builder_version=”4.16″ _module_preset=”default” text_font=”||||||||” text_font_size=”15px” custom_margin=”|||50px|false|false” global_colors_info=”{}” theme_builder_area=”et_body_layout”]<\/p>\n

\n

Short essays on the Nagorno Karabakh Conflict
Download in English<\/a> | Russian<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan finds himself facing a turbulent political landscape following snap local elections in the municipalities of Gyumri and Parakar late last month . Despite municipal votes often being dismissed as minor, the outcome of the March 30 elections carries national weight. In both Gyumri and Parakar, Pashinyan\u2019s ruling political party, Civil Contract, failed to secure a majority of the votes. The elections were widely considered a referendum on Pashinyan\u2019s premiership. Pashinyan\u2019s approval ratings hover around 11 percent, according to a survey published in January of this year. This, combined with the election results in Gyumri and Parakar, means that Pashinyan\u2019s political survivability may be in question.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11552,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","twitterCardType":"","cardImageID":0,"cardImage":"","cardTitle":"","cardDesc":"","cardImageAlt":"","cardPlayer":"","cardPlayerWidth":0,"cardPlayerHeight":0,"cardPlayerStream":"","cardPlayerCodec":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12,57,50],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11551","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-armenia","category-armenia-elections","category-jamestown-foundation"],"yoast_head":"\nArmenian Local Elections a Barometer for Pashinyan\u2019s Political Future - Onnik James Krikorian - Journalist, Photojournalist, Consultant<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/onnik-krikorian.com\/new_site\/armenian-local-elections-a-barometer-for-pashinyans-political-future\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Armenian Local Elections a Barometer for Pashinyan\u2019s Political Future - Onnik James Krikorian - Journalist, Photojournalist, Consultant\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan finds himself facing a turbulent political landscape following snap local elections in the municipalities of Gyumri and Parakar late last month . 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