Armenia and Azerbaijan: Rare declaration rekindles hopes for peace

Armenia and Azerbaijan: Rare declaration rekindles hopes for peace

Osservatorio Balcani e Caucaso Transeuropa has published my piece on last week’s unprecedented bilateral statement issued by Armenia and Azerbaijan that saw an agreement on Baku hosting the 29th Session of the Conference of Parties (COP29) and an undertaking to exchange prisoners held by both. 

Despite concerns that even a framework agreement to normalise relations between Armenia and Azerbaijan would not come by the end of this year, an unexpected joint statement issued by Baku and Yerevan late last Thursday, 7 December, has sparked optimism that this could still happen. The two countries fought a devastating 44-day war three years ago, but a peace deal has so far remained elusive.

 

Though joint statements are not new, they had always been issued as part of trilateral talks either facilitated or mediated by Russian President Vladimir Putin or European Council President Charles Michel. This time, however, the statement was issued bilaterally by the Armenian Prime Minister’s Office and the Azerbaijani Presidential Administration with no third-party involved.

 

The development is particularly significant given the impasse in the Michel-facilitated Brussels Process, with Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev pulling out of EU-mediated talks in Granada and Brussels in October, and Yerevan rejecting offers of Russian-hosted talks as Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan increasingly turns westwards.

 

[…]

 

Nonetheless, until it becomes known whether Armenia and Azerbaijan will return to bilateral or trilateral talks, the joint statement has at least encouraged those hopeful for an agreement to come soon. For now, that remains unclear. Speaking on Armenian Public TV on Saturday, Security Council Secretary Armen Grigoryan could only say that a deal could come “by the end of the year… or as soon as possible”. 

  

The same was expected at the end of last year.

The full article is available in English and Italian

 

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Conflict Voices – December 2010

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Conflict Voices – May 2011

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Ethnic Incompatibility or Coexistence? Armenians and Azerbaijanis in Georgia

Ethnic Incompatibility or Coexistence? Armenians and Azerbaijanis in Georgia

Ethnic Azerbaijani child, Marneuli Municipality, Kvemo Kartli, Georgia © Onnik James Krikorian

Despite the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict that has waged for three decades, and despite the ethno-nationalist narrative of alleged ‘ethnic incompatibility,’ the two groups do actually co-inhabit and co-exist in many villages, towns, and cities in Georgia. Ever since first hearing about the ethnic Armenian-Azerbaijani co-inhabited villages from Michael Andersen, a Danish journalist, in 2008 I’ve made a point of visiting them ever since to at least offer one positive example of co-existence between the groups albeit in a third country.  

That’s something I’ve consistently done since 2009, always taking down journalists from Azerbaijan with me so that they can report on them too, although my last such visit prior to this year was in 2021 to ethnic-Azerbaijani majority Tsopi, a village with an ethnic Armenian minority, and ethnic-Armenian majority Khojorni, a village with an ethnic-Azerbaijani minority. This year, however, my project was expanded by also examining further the situation in Tbilisi and elsewhere, but particularly Sadakhlo as well.

Almost everyone traveling by road between Yerevan and Tbilisi has passed through Sadakhlo, the ethnic Azerbaijan village in Georgia close to the border checkpoint with Bagratashen in Armenia. It once was home to a cross-border market between the two countries and the three peoples even during the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict of the early 1990s but even today is the first population centre that trade and people pass through en route to and from Armenia and Georgia.  Close by are a few of the ethnic Armenian-Azerbaijani co-inhabited villages.

Earlier this year, working with Konul Shahin, a writer and educator from Azerbaijan who had undertaken her own work on ethnic Armenians in Turkiye, we sought out more examples of ethnic Armenian-Azerbaijani co-existence in Tbilisi, Marneuli, Sadakhlo and the villages. The Baku-based Topchubashov were interested enough to support and publish our report.

In July 2023, as one of many trips made until September, the authors of this report traveled by bus to the village of Sadakhlo, an ethnic Azerbaijani village in Georgia close to the country’s border with Armenia. Before interviewing residents there, however, the first order of the day upon disembarking was to grab lunch from one of a few cafes and chaikhanas (teahouses) along the roadside in the center of the village.

 

As we sat down, the woman who approached us to take our order instinctively spoke Azerbaijani, but after some general conversation, she identified herself as an ethnic Armenian from Armenia. Thinking of us as tourists, she also said her husband, a taxi driver and an ethnic Azerbaijani, would be able to drive us around if we planned any sightseeing. We agreed, and while waiting for his arrival and as we finished our lunch, she told us her story.   

 

Meanwhile, on the main road, dozens of cars and trucks with Armenian number plates driving to and from Tbilisi passed by as we spoke. A few kilometers down the road in this almost totally ethnic Azerbaijani part of Georgia, dozens more trucks from Armenia awaited customs clearance that can take days.

You can read the full report here

CONFLICT VOICES e-BOOKS

 

Conflict Voices – December 2010

Short essays on the Nagorno Karabakh Conflict
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Conflict Voices – May 2011

Short essays on the Nagorno Karabakh Conflict
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What future for the Armenians of Karabakh?

What future for the Armenians of Karabakh?

Few were surprised when just over 100,000 ethnic Armenians fled Karabakh in late September. Their departure followed Baku’s military operation to ostensibly take out the last remnants of local ethnic Armenian forces in the breakaway region. For almost three years since the November 2020 trilateral ceasefire statement, local analysts and political figures in Yerevan said that no-one would remain in Karabakh unless it received some kind of autonomy, independence, or security guarantees.

Baku rejected all three and Karabakh as an unrecognised ethnic Armenian political entity will cease to exist at the very beginning of next year. Even some foreign commentators called for the immediate exodus of the ethnic Armenians, though they could hardly impact the situation on the ground even if they had urged the opposite. The reason for the panicked departure was clear to everyone but it could have been avoided had there been genuine support throughout for the peace process. Without one, this was arguably always going to happen.

  

With the return of the seven surrounding regions to Azerbaijan in November–December 2020, Karabakh could never be sustainable without amicable mutual relations with Baku whatever its status. Though the Lachin Corridor was slated to be kept under the control of the Russian peacekeeping contingent, that would only be for as long as Moscow maintained a presence. Had Russia left in 2025 or even 2030, all utilities and infrastructure such as electricity, gas, and telecommunications, as well as trade and movement, would fall under Baku’s direct control.

 

Lacking a land border with a powerful neighbouring security patron as is the case with Abkhazia and South Ossetia, let alone a coastline and access to the sea as in Northern Cyprus, Karabakh’s fate was inextricably linked to Azerbaijan. Even Karabakh’s airport didn’t function. Yet there was the possibility to prepare the ground for a slow integration to take place over years or likely decades. Russia had foreseen the future as one where the sides were gradually brought together leaving the issue of status for sometime in the future.

 

[…]

 

Coincidentally, a few days ago former Karabakh strongman Samvel Babayan claimed that the last de facto leader of the territory’s ethnic Armenian population, Samvel Shahramanyan, was still negotiating with Baku over the return of the population in absentia. Few believe this and there is certainly so far no evidence to support such claims, but this should at least be pursued despite the seemingly unsurmountable difficulties that it would entail.

 

That is, before it is too late.

The full opinion piece can be read online here.

CONFLICT VOICES e-BOOKS

 

Conflict Voices – December 2010

Short essays on the Nagorno Karabakh Conflict
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Conflict Voices – May 2011

Short essays on the Nagorno Karabakh Conflict
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Europalia 2023: Cultural Diplomacy Strengthens Ties Through Art and Music

Europalia 2023: Cultural Diplomacy Strengthens Ties Through Art and Music

Saz festival in Tbilisi just before Europalia in Belgium @ Onnik James Krikorian 2023

Earlier this month Georgia was the theme of the Europalia biennial in Belgium. With a rich history of art, culture, dance, and music of its own, it was therefore encouraging to see that one of the performers from the country was the ethnic Azerbaijani Ashiq Nargile. This was a welcome inclusion of a representative of Georgia’s largest ethnic minority in the programme.

With ethnic Armenians making up the second largest, such a development bodes well for the country if it receives EU member candidate status next month. Below an excerpt from my recent piece for The Caspian Post with more photos from a related Saz festival in Tbilisi held weeks before. It too featured Ashiq Nargile. 

This year’s Europalia, a multidisciplinary international arts and cultural biennial established in Belgium in 1969, has become a showcase for intercultural dialogue on the European continent. For four months, from October to January, the event is intended to feature the best of traditional and contemporary art, crafts, dance, literature, music, and theatre from a specific country chosen every two years.

 

At first intended to showcase solely European culture, in 1989, it selected Japan as the thematic country that year. China, Brazil, India, and Türkiye followed for festivals between 2009 to 2017, and this year was the turn of Georgia. Decided before the 8 November recommendation to grant the country European Union membership candidate status, the timing is appropriate even if coincidental.

 

The festival will allow audiences the possibility to immerse themselves in Georgia’s rich and diverse cultural heritage. It will feature exhibitions such as The Avant-Garde in Georgia 1900-1936 and personal exhibitions by modern Georgian artists, multidisciplinary performances, traditional and modern electronic music, theatrical performances, literary meetings, and a retrospective on Georgian cinema.

 

[…]

 

The ethnic Armenian and Azerbaijani communities are Georgia’s largest minorities in the country, but inclusion in local and international events has been rare or even non-existent. That could be changing, however. In mid-October, the State Folklore Center of Georgia also staged an entire evening in Tbilisi dedicated to the Ashiq and Mugham traditions supported by the Georgian government.

 

[…]

 

“This Georgian-Azerbaijani traditional music evening holds particular significance as this musical tradition remains largely unfamiliar to a broader audience,” Folklife Georgia wrote on its Facebook page. Certainly, assuming that it receives its candidate status next month, minority inclusion will be an important requirement for Georgia’s possible long path toward eventual EU membership.

The full article is here

Saz festival in Tbilisi just before Europalia in Belgium @ Onnik James Krikorian 2023

 

 

CONFLICT VOICES e-BOOKS

 

Conflict Voices – December 2010

Short essays on the Nagorno Karabakh Conflict
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Conflict Voices – May 2011

Short essays on the Nagorno Karabakh Conflict
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Armenians and Azerbaijanis Dance Under One Sky in Georgian Village

Armenians and Azerbaijanis Dance Under One Sky in Georgian Village

Throughout the summer I once again made frequent visits to the Marneuli Municipality of the Kvemo Kartli region of Georgia, this time to work on a report on the many cases of ethnic Armenian-Azerbaijani villages there. Not only do these unique examples of co-inhabitation exist but they do so in a mainly ethnic Azerbaijani part of Georgia that also serves as one of Armenia’s few outlets for trade and transportation as well as its connection to Tbilisi. 

Sadly, despite visiting those villages numerous times since 2010 or so, I nonetheless missed a festival held in one – Khojorni – that was staged precisely to celebrate the cosmopolitan nature of the district. Until this year’s report is out, written in collaboration with a colleague from Azerbaijan, you can read my short piece about the festival for the Caspian Post  here and there’s an excerpt below. I also intend to write more on this in the coming days and weeks.

Meanwhile, there’s also a piece I wrote for Stratfor on two of those villages in 2017 here

Nestled in the hills and forests of Georgia just a kilometre from the country’s border with Armenia, the residents of Khojorni, a small village numbering just 635, held on 18 November the first of what it hopes will be an annual multicultural festival, Under One Sky. Though such events are not uncommon throughout the country, what made this one special was that the population comprises one made up of ethnic Armenians and Azerbaijanis. 

 

Lali Margiani, one of the teachers at the local school told the Tbilisi-based Aliq Media that the idea for the festival had been around for years, but plans to stage it had been frustrated by the recent pandemic. According to Margiani, the festival was important to demonstrate that it is “possible to live under one sky without conflict,” and to offer yet another narrative of “coexistence and unity.” Several other villages in the area are also co-inhabited by the two ethnic groups.

 

“During the years I have lived here, I have not encountered any conflict in this village,” 77-year-old Terlan Suleymanova, a Khojorni resident, told me on one of my many visits for over more than a decade in 2021. “People have always treated each other well, visited each other’s houses, and congratulated each other on their birthdays. We have always had a good relationship. At school, our relationship was even better.”

 

[…] 

 

In recent weeks, both Baku and Tbilisi again outlined the potential role that Georgia could play in hosting talks between Armenia and Azerbaijan as other platforms continue to falter. They point out that for many ethnic Armenian and Azerbaijani citizens of Georgia there is no conflict among them, especially in locations where the two live in close proximity. This is a remarkable reality that speaks volumes given that found elsewhere. The Khojorni festival hammered that home.

 

“Dancing together […] under the same sky, Armenians and Azerbaijanis and… me. One Georgian!,” exclaimed Margiani on Facebook the following day. 

 The full Caspian Post article can be read here. My 2013 RFE/RL photo story is here and my 2017 piece for Stratfor is here.

CONFLICT VOICES e-BOOKS

 

Conflict Voices – December 2010

Short essays on the Nagorno Karabakh Conflict
Download in English | Russian

 

Conflict Voices – May 2011

Short essays on the Nagorno Karabakh Conflict
Download in English | Russian